Prospects on the Move: Alex Dickerson to the San Diego Padres

Aug 18, 2013; San Diego, CA, USA; San Diego Padres left fielder Jaff Decker (1) flies out with the bases loaded to end the eighth inning against the New York Mets at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the San Diego Padres made a fairly unusual trade for this offseason: they traded young, unestablished players for each other.

On November 25, the Pirates announced that they traded 23 year old outfielder Alex Dickerson to the Padres for 23 year old outfielder Jaff Decker and 25 year old right-handed relief pitcher Miles Mikolas. While neither Decker nor Mikolas crack MLB.com’s Top 20 prospects for their new team in Pittsburgh, Dickerson lines up at #11 thanks to Jonathan Mayo’s list of Padres’ top prospects, making him the biggest name prospect in this trade.

Dickerson’s numbers:

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
2011 21 State College NYPL A- PIT 41 173 150 25 47 16 1 3 19 0 0 16 28 .313 .393 .493 .886
2012 22 Bradenton FLOR A+ PIT 129 541 488 65 144 31 3 13 90 12 7 39 93 .295 .353 .451 .803
2013 23 Altoona EL AA PIT 126 491 451 61 130 36 3 17 68 10 7 27 89 .288 .337 .494 .832
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/7/2013.

Dickerson, drafted out of Indiana University-Bloomington in the 3rd round of the 2011 draft, was considered to be an advanced bat early on and has definitely made good on that promise. He had an outstanding season in 2011 in short-season ball, hitting .313/.398/.493 for State College in the New York-Penn League and followed that up with a Florida State League Player of the year, putting up an .803 OPS (which worked out to an 127 wRC+) in 2012.

This season, Dickerson put up some great numbers in Double-A with a 126 wRC+, hitting 17 home runs in the Eastern League. He has shown some drops in walk percentage over his three seasons of pro ball as he’s moved up the ranks but his strikeout numbers haven’t gone up by too much (under 2%). His numbers showed a lack of power in the Arizona Fall League but if he’s playing in Tuscon for the Padres in the Pacific Coast League, Dickerson could put up some huge numbers in 2014.

On the other side, the Pirates get Jaff Decker who had been designated for assignment after a major league cup of coffee in September. Decker wasn’t really in the long term plans for the Padres and they were looking to clear space on the 40-man roster and ended up sending him to Pittsburgh (along with Mikolas).

Decker’s numbers:

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
2008 18 2 Teams 2 Lgs Rk-A- SDP 52 228 169 53 58 11 2 5 34 9 1 57 41 .343 .513 .521 1.034
2008 18 Padres ARIZ Rk SDP 49 216 159 51 56 11 2 5 34 9 1 55 36 .352 .523 .541 1.064
2008 18 Eugene NORW A- SDP 3 12 10 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 .200 .333 .200 .533
2009 19 Fort Wayne MIDW A SDP 104 455 358 78 107 25 2 16 64 10 6 85 92 .299 .442 .514 .956
2010 20 Lake Elsinore CALL A+ SDP 79 348 290 53 76 14 2 17 58 5 4 47 80 .262 .374 .500 .874
2011 21 San Antonio TL AA SDP 133 613 496 90 117 29 2 19 92 15 5 103 145 .236 .373 .417 .790
2012 22 2 Teams 2 Lgs AA-Rk SDP 56 223 174 35 35 4 4 4 16 6 2 44 40 .201 .369 .339 .708
2012 22 Padres ARIZ Rk SDP 9 33 27 5 8 1 2 1 7 0 0 4 3 .296 .394 .593 .987
2012 22 San Antonio TL AA SDP 47 190 147 30 27 3 2 3 9 6 2 40 37 .184 .365 .293 .658
2013 23 Tucson PCL AAA SDP 105 415 350 63 100 23 1 10 40 4 6 55 94 .286 .381 .443 .824
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/7/2013.

Decker stands to compete with Travis Snider for a major league role in 2014 and had an excellent 2013 in Triple-A Tuscon that saw him post a .381 OBP and 121 wRC+. Decker has better patience than Snider but doesn’t seem to have the power potential that Snider has. The final piece in the deal, Mikolas, is a 6’5″ righty who doesn’t strike out a lot of batters but has had good numbers in Triple-A.

Mikolas’s numbers:

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff W L W-L% ERA G GS GF SV IP H R ER HR BB IBB SO HBP WP WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2009 20 Eugene NORW A- SDP 1 8 .111 5.94 15 11 0 0 53.0 77 47 35 1 9 0 39 5 3 1.623 13.1 0.2 1.5 6.6 4.33
2010 21 Fort Wayne MIDW A SDP 6 3 .667 2.20 60 0 30 13 81.2 76 27 20 3 15 2 78 0 6 1.114 8.4 0.3 1.7 8.6 5.20
2011 22 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA SDP 4 0 1.000 1.38 62 0 50 21 72.0 60 11 11 1 15 2 69 3 1 1.042 7.5 0.1 1.9 8.6 4.60
2011 22 Lake Elsinore CALL A+ SDP 3 0 1.000 1.13 34 0 30 12 39.2 31 5 5 1 9 2 42 3 0 1.008 7.0 0.2 2.0 9.5 4.67
2011 22 San Antonio TL AA SDP 1 0 1.000 1.67 28 0 20 9 32.1 29 6 6 0 6 0 27 0 1 1.082 8.1 0.0 1.7 7.5 4.50
2012 23 2 Teams 2 Lgs AAA-AA SDP 3 2 .600 3.09 29 0 16 4 32.0 36 14 11 1 11 0 28 0 2 1.469 10.1 0.3 3.1 7.9 2.55
2012 23 San Antonio TL AA SDP 1 1 .500 2.92 12 0 10 4 12.1 16 6 4 0 3 0 11 0 1 1.541 11.7 0.0 2.2 8.0 3.67
2012 23 Tucson PCL AAA SDP 2 1 .667 3.20 17 0 6 0 19.2 20 8 7 1 8 0 17 0 1 1.424 9.2 0.5 3.7 7.8 2.13
2013 24 Tucson PCL AAA SDP 4 2 .667 3.25 54 0 50 26 61.0 62 25 22 6 17 1 40 0 3 1.295 9.1 0.9 2.5 5.9 2.35
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/7/2013.

Who do you think got the better end of this deal?

Topics: Alex Dickerson, Pittsburgh Pirates, San Diego Padres

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  • BBWeekly

    Word is that the Pirates really wanted Mikolas, and they think he is the best player in the trade. The Bucs have a history of developing great relievers from within, and they really like tall pitchers who keep the ball on the ground.