In our S2S STAT-Scans, each player is assigned a “Plate Skills Index,” which is based on the ability to “win plate appearances” (described in detail here), a “Production Index,” based on the ability to produce offense (described in detail here), and a “Composite Index,” which is a combination of the two. Additional detail on “the three numbers,” with some examples, can be found here.
It is important to remember that age, level and position also factor into the analysis. And note that this is a statistical analysis of the actual results, so scouting reports don’t factor into the numbers.
Plate Skills: 109 Production: 103 Composite: 112
Picked out of high school with the No. 18 pick in 2010, Cowart made a strong move up the charts in 2012. He certainly showed he could handle himself at the plate, putting up a .358 OBP in a season split between the low-A Midwest League and high-A California League.
The switch-hitter didn’t quite show ideal power for a third-sacker, but that could come along.
On the Radar
C.J. Cron, 1b … 2013 Age 23, 2012 Level: High-A
Plate Skills: 83 Production: 114 Composite: 98
Cron was the first-round (No. 17) pick in 2011, and, even though his power was impressive (27 HR), you’d almost expect more in the homer-happy Cal League — particularly since Cron is pretty one-dimensional. The lack of walks from a big slugger type is what should worry Angels fans.
Kole Calhoun, OF … 2013 Age 25, 2012 Level: AAA
Plate Skills: 102 Production: 115 Composite: 117
Do all Angels prospects have last names starting with “C”? Maybe. Calhoun came out of Arizona State, and has put up three straight years of strong all-around numbers. Looks like a solid professional hitter.
Zachary Borenstein, OF … 2013 Age 22, 2012 Level: Low-A
Plate Skills: 99 Production: 119 Composite: 118
This lefty-hitting outfielder from Eastern Illinois isn’t on any of the lists, but maybe he should be. The 11th-round pick lights up our chart with a .485 SLG with a low 18% strikeout rate. That’s an ideal combination for “sleepers.”
Distant Early Warning
Sandy Martinez, SS … 2013 Age 20, 2012 Level: Rookie
Plate Skills: 126 Production: 84 Composite: 110
Teenage switch-hitting catcher Martinez produced zero power (.055 ISO), but, helped by just 8 strikeouts in 107 PAs, he put up an eye-catching .393 OBP.
On the Whole
Would our STAT-Scan have caught the Trout explosion had we been doing this last year? Well, we certainly would have ranked him as being very advanced for his years. At 18 in 2010, Trout had Plate Skills: 122/Production: 101/Composite: 123. At 19 in 2011, playing at AA, he had Plate Skills: 110/Production: 116/Composite: 126.
None of the hitters left in the system has numbers like that, but Cowart looks increasingly like a good bet.