Manny Machado at Baltimore's photo day on March 1st (Mandatory Credit: Derick E. Hingle-US PRESSWIRE)

Top-100 Showdown Redux: AL East

Putting together a Top-100 prospect list is a massive undertaking and any site that takes on the challenge deserves to be recognized for their efforts. Just about a month ago I did a 7-part series comparing the lists of six sources – Baseball InstinctMLB.comMLB Prospect PortalProject, and S2S.

Now that I’m done with my portion of our team prospect lists, I can revisit this comparative series by looking at another grouping of Top-100 lists from seven new sources. Just as I did the first time around I will tackle one division at a time and then cap it off with a conclusion piece with some final thoughts and system rankings. The sources I have selected for the showdown “redux” series are:

The AL East had 34 players make at least one of the seven  Top-100 lists while 11 of the 34 were consensus selections.

Baltimore Orioles [3]

Position Player BA BP Bant JS Spec MD TPA
RHP Dylan Bundy 10 6 9 19 33 12 10
SS Manny Machado 11 8 8 8 9 7 11
2B Jonathan Schoop 82 85 81 77 94 74

Really not much to dissect here. Bundy and Machado are almost universally slotted between #8 and #20 on these lists and Schoop lands on the back half. Outside of those O’s prospects, only Parker Bridwell (#96 according to Baseball Instinct) has cracked a top-1oo.

Most curious ranking(s): Nothing stands out. Schoop was left off 3 of 13 lists examined so his omission by Full Spectrum Baseball is hardly shocking. Similarly while their ranking of Bundy at #33 stands out from the other six sources above, Dylan was slotted in the 30s on both the Seedlings to Starts and lists I looked at last time.

Boston Red Sox [10]

Position Player BA BP Bant JS Spec MD TPA
3B Will Middlebrooks 51 55 60 78 77 70 60
SS Xander Bogaerts 58 32 25 30 26 56 67
C Blake Swihart 72 93 95 72
OF Brandon Jacobs 46 89
C Ryan Lavarnway 98 97 61
RHP Matt Barnes 67 74
SS Jose Iglesias 57
OF Jackie Bradley 94
3B Garin Cecchini 65 100
RHP Anthony Ranaudo 85

After 13 lists one thing we know for certain is that Bogaerts is a stud prospect – and Boston’s only player to make all the lists. Middlebrooks, with 11/13 came close but missed the cut for the Seedlings to Stars and Project Prospect Top-100s.

Most curious ranking(s): Jose Iglesias at #57 is beyond a stretch but to be fair I love Full Spectrum’s rankings of the other Red Sox prospects and really love the inclusion of Jackie Bradley.

New York Yankees [6]

Position Player BA BP Bant JS Spec MD TPA
LHP Manny Banuelos 29 29 30 45 21 25 22
RHP Dellin Betances 63 63 82 51 52 36
C Gary Sanchez 81 40 47 61 68 46 43
OF Mason Williams 85 99 92 75 86
RHP Jose Campos 86 84
C Austin Romine 49

There are a lot of mixed opinions on Betances’ prospect standing but all those opinions still wind up with him ranked in a top-100. At least that’s true until you get to Sickels’ list. I can’t disagree with John, or anyone else, that may exclude him as the walk rate has to give you pause and a probable move to the bullpen will further lessen his potential impact. Banuelos and Sanchez, on the other hand, made it through the second round of lists to remain consensus selections.

Most curious ranking(s): Still no love for Dante Bichette Jr the second time around? Of the 13 sources, only Baseball Instinct saw fit to include him in their rankings and I have a sneaking suspicion that they’re going to wind up looking brilliant in the long run.

Tampa Bay Rays [6]

Position Player BA BP Bant JS Spec MD TPA
LHP Matt Moore 2 1 3 2 1 3 2
SS Hak-Ju Lee 44 65  *61* 58 32 79 44
RHP Chris Archer 89
RHP Taylor Guerrieri 90 84 95 88 92
LHP Enny Romero 97 86
OF Mikie Mahtook 94 99

The Rays are obviously anchored by the presence of Matt Moore – a player that everyone ranks as one of the three best prospects in baseball. Everyone that is aside from Seedlings to Stars, but in fairness to Nathaniel, he did rank him 4th. The game’s best pitching prospect will lose his prospect status this season barring a disaster, but Tampa Bay as a system may be in a better place overall next offseason after their 2011 draft class – which included 12 of the first 89 selections – has a full season of experience under their collective belt.

Most curious ranking(s): Bullpen Banter was the only site to leave Hak-Ju Lee off their list. That’s a little odd for a guy who was in the Top-50 on half of the other twelve lists. He’s a SS with good defensive skills and has shown an ability to hit. I can’t get my head around the omission unless you happen to be convinced that his 24 game struggles in Double-A are more indicative of his future than the other 287 games of his career.

UPDATE: I came across Lee on the Bullpen Banter list after all. He was still listed under the Cubs which is how I missed him during my search … so I rescind the above curiosity comments related to the Rays SS prospect.

Toronto Blue Jays [9]

Position Player BA BP Bant JS Spec MD TPA
C Travis d’Arnaud 17 16 12 26 16 19 21
OF Anthony Gose 39 68 41 51 43 47 58
OF Jake Marisnick 67 28 46 48 55 59 46
LHP Daniel Norris 91 54 71 70 73 62
RHP Noah Syndergaard 93 79 67 82
LHP Justin Nicolino 72 68 76 80
RHP Drew Hutchison 73 52
RHP Deck McGuire 80
RHP Aaron Sanchez 78

Marisnick and d’Arnaud are the only two consensus players in the Jays system but Gose just missed (12/13) and several others had a strong showing. That grouping includes Norris (7), Syndergaard (8), Hutchison (7), and Nicolino (5). Just more proof that this is hands down one of the elite systems heading into the 2012 season.

Most curious ranking(s): I continue to be stunned by the lack of love/respect for Drew Hutchison. Aside from that, it’s extremely curious that Daniel Norris made 6 of 7 lists after barely making just 1 of the 6 I looked at last time around.


For a truly great resource for all your prospect rankings be sure to check out Fantasy Rundown.

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Tags: AL East Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays

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